exchanges

Wednesday, February 29, 2012

Midweek internationals

this week sees lots of international fixtures be them friendlies or u21 qualifiers there should be lots of decent trading opportunities for us to try and exploit.

Some games of note which i believe have a high chance of profit in the overs market (2.5)
  • Rep Ire v Czech Rep. Over 2.5  - 2.72
  • Germany v France. Over 2.5 - 2.04
  • Greece v Belgium Over 2.5 - 2.6
Even the England game could prove a suprise to many, although i think the trade for this game is laying the draw early on and backing it back for equal stakes looking to green up a little later should an equaliser come. This is one of my favourite trades to do as you only need 1 goal to completely eradicate the possibility of any loss while at the same time really maximising any profits as you don't hedge until the 3rd bet.

If its value you are after then i think the USA are probably slightly over priced at a very appealing 7.2. Yes i appreciate we are talking about USA and football in the same sentence but Italy are not a shadow of their former selves and i reckon there are several ticks to be made in this. Whether you want to lay Italy rather than backing USA is completely up to you although laying Italy would keep liability down as they are currently priced at 1.68 to lay. I wouldn't advice staying in this too long though as not sure USA will keep them out for the duration, however,i am anticipating a closer game than the exchanges would have you believe.

Thats it for now, good luck if getting involved in any of tonights games. I may be back a bit later with some more opinions but for now, good evening.

Regards
Fluffnut

Monday, February 6, 2012

Monday night football.

Liverpool v Spurs.

In my opinion this game has goals written all over it and after a weekend of some pretty high scoring games i see another on the cards at Anfield tonight. I am expecting a cagey opening however so will be looking at backing over 2.5 after 7-8 mins or so depending on how things are moving along.

Current price on over 2.5 is 1.91 so i think i will be trying to hold put for atleast even money with a view to laying it of somewhere in the 2nd half and shifting all of the green onto overs with zero liability on unders.

Thats my plan anyway will let you know the outcome of tonights trades once we are off. Another tempting trade is the "old" LTD but will be backing the draw after 1st goal for same stake giving maximum return on draw and zero on a winner and then if an equaliser comes green up for huge returns and if no goal then liability is already at 0.00 anyway. Just need that 1st goal.

Good luck all who get involved in tonights game and lets hope for a corker.

Regards
Fluffnut